A couple of football games to chose from today but with home venue playing such a vital part of any teams chances its kind of hard to find value.
Limerick V Kildare
One that looks good to me is Limerick to progress to the next round at the expense of Kildare. Limerick were ruthless last weekend in their demolition of hot favourites Meath and have been priced up as best priced 1.73 chances for this game. They discovered an amazing new talent in Ian Ryan who scored 3 - 7, a remarkable individual score for any player. Obviously his cover is blown now but i would expect him to be well marked and if Kildare make the mistake of concentrating on him then they will be punished by the other forwards. Confidence is high amongst Limerick now and on home soil should have enough to take their championship through to the next round. Kildare needed a last minute goal last weekend against Cavan to make it this far. Their over reliance on Doyle in the last few years has hindered their progress and they now find it hard to make scoring chances.
Verdict
Limerick are full of confidence and playing at home should give them an extra 2 or 3 point advantage that should see them win by 3 0r 4 points. They have the better overall play and create more scoring chances which will give them the edge.
Laois V Down
Two teams here that you just cannot rely on for betting purposes, too often both win when they shouldn't and lose games that they should win at a canter. Down start as favourites and rightly so but Laois on their own patch are a tough nut to crack. Based on form though you would have to plump for the Mourne men and they certainly in good scoring form grabbing 5 - 19 in their last outing against Offaly. il keep it short here, i think that this has the potential to be an open entertaining game and i think we could see a few goals in this. Benny Coulter has an eye for the net and at 8 (paddy power) he certainly is worth a small punt. If this is as open as i expect it to be then i think the best punt is over 2.5 goals at powers. Down scored 5 on their own last weekend and Laois are well capable of getting goals
Over 2.5 goals is my choice
PICKS
Limerick - 1 point (1.91 @ bet365) 4 points 5 points
Laois V Down over 2.5 goals ( 2.5 @ paddy power) 4 points
Benny Coulter 1st goalscorer (8 @ paddy power) 1 point
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Laois and Down deliver the goals and Coulter scores as predicted, unfortunately he got the second goal so no payout, should have gone each way.
Limerick boom into a commanding lead but let it slip for a narrow defeat
Nothing gained and nothing lost today. 0 points
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