Saturday, May 3, 2008

Some weekend picks

Sorry for my absense guys. Its been a tough few weeks workwise for me so ive been absent from any betting. Onto the weekend

Aston Villa V Wigan

Villa are probably one of the form teams in the premiership at the moment and it would be unwise to write them off at any venue. Agbonlahor has scored in each of the last 4 games and his pace should get him into some decent positions today against a Wigan side that is as good as safe.
The goals are flowing and 17 in the last 4 games are encouraging signs. They are fighting it out for 5th place with Everton and today is a great chance to get back on track as Everton have a tough fixture away at the Emirates to think about.
Wigans away record speaks volumes about them (1-5-12) with almost 2 goals a game conceded. Most of their points tally have came from a solid home record but take them on the road and they are wobbly at best. That being said they can be tough opposition and you can expect them to make Villa work hard for the 3 points today.
Villa are on song at the moment and could probably land the overs themselves in this game but ive a feeling that Wigan are good enough to snatch a goal here and make a game of it.
Overs for me.

PICK
Aston Villa/Wigan over 2.5 goals ( 1.9 @ unibet) 3 points



Blackburn V Derby

There is not much to say about this one that you guys don’t already know. Derby are just too poor for the top flight and have been whipping boys for most of the season.
They were thumped 6 – 2 by Arsenal midweek but were just delighted that they got on the scoresheet twice.
If an unmotivated side so comprehensively defeated them then how will they do against a Blackburn side in need of the 3 points? The home side are not known as prolific scorers but have scored in each of the last 5 at Ewood park and today should be more target practice for them. Benni McCarthy is out so Santa Cruz and Roberts will lead the line.
A comfortable home win should be in order here.

Blackburn –1.75 (1.98 @ bet365) 5 points




Wolves V Plymouth

Wolves look like serious nap material for me. I was at Molineux last week to see them beat Cardiff 3 – 0 and even though they didn’t play exceptional in any way they still showed enough desire to take 3 points.
In many ways this game is very similar. Wolves need the win badly whereas Plymouth are floating in mad table and planning the summer holidays. 3 points will take Wolves into the playoff zone but only if other results go their way.
With a pretty much full strength squad to chose from at home its hard to look past a home win here.
Plymouth are in 10th place and secure for another season. With little to play for here except pride its hard to see them crashing into 50/50 tackles with 100% commitment. However they are payed to do their job so it will be far from a walkover for the home side. The Pilgrims have actually been quite decent on the road with 8 wins but they have been conceding goals and lowly Coventry hit them for 3 a few weeks back.
A 1- 0 or 2 – 0 home win for me and the home side will just about do enough to give them a shot at the playoffs.

PICK
Wolves (1.57 @ bet365) 5 points

1 comment:

epm said...

1 loser and 2 winners

+4.75