Sunday, April 20, 2008

Sunday picks

Milan – Reggina

To say this is a season defining game for AC is quite appropriate. They must win here and nothing else will do. They face the unthinkable prospect of not qualifying for Europe and for such a big club this would be a disaster. They have 5 games to make up 7 points on Fiorentina with a game in hand and it all begins today. Anything other than 3 points will almost surely finish their season.
At the San Siro AC have been surprisingly poor with only 5 wins from 16 attempts. Only 3 teams have won fewer games at home and it’s a very strange stat for last years European champions.
Bonera and Pato are out but otherwise there is a full squad to chose from.
Reggina also are in desperate need of points but for different reasons. 2nd from bottom and every point is critical, as there are at least 6 teams still in danger of the drop. Only 7 points from a possible 48 on the road is a terrible record and evidence of why Reggina are so low in the table. Still no win and it’s a big ask to beat Milan on their own turf
Montiel and Cascione are the only absentees.

Verdict
Both need the points but in terms of quality Milan have the advantage. Not to qualify for Europe is unthinkable and it could all come down to today. The Milan players have all played on the big stage before so the pressure of today’s task should not faze them. Time to stand up and deliver.
Milan to win 2 – 0 for me

PICK

Milan –1, -1.5 ( 1.7 @ pinnacle) 5 points



1 comment:

epm said...

comfortable Milan win

+3.5 points