Tuesday, April 1, 2008

League action tonight

Sheffield Wednesday V Coventry

It’s all to play for in this battle to avoid the drop. A win for the home side here will bring them level on points with the visitors.
Coventry have pulled away slowly from the dropzone with some excellent home displays but on the road they have been poor. Their last win came way back in early December and they have really struggled to score with just 3 goals in the last 9 away games.
Sheffield Wednesday are leaving it late and know that defeat tonight will be a disaster. Their home form has been ok considering some of the opposition they have had to face recently, Stoke, West Brom Cardiff and QPR have all been recent visitors and have been made to work hard for a result and a few of them have left empty handed.

Verdict
A real close encounter is to be expected. The result is critical for both sides and im swaying for the home side here. Their recent performances against better opposition have been notable and Coventry are not the best travellers. Home win draw no bet is my choice, as I really can’t see Coventry leaving with 3 points.

PICK
Sheffield Wednesday – Draw no bet (1.62 @ bet365) 5 points



Carlisle V Nottingham Forest

With a home record of 16 wins from 18 attempts its hard to see why bookies are offering 2+ for Carlisle here. Fair enough Nottingham are not so far behind in the league standings but one look at their away record doesn’t inspire much confidence in them. Just 2 wins in the last 11 against a side who have won 14 on the trot. Carlisle and Doncaster are fighting it out for that second place behind Swansea. Carlisle have 3 points more with a game in hand so another win tonight could possibly see them make a late charge for the title. At home they ooze confidence and Brunton Park has become a real fortress. Both sides have a few injury worries to contend with as Carlisle plan without Scott Dobie, Danny Graham, Jeff Smith, Joe Garner and skipper Paul Thirlwell.
Forest must do without Kris Commons, Davies and James Perch.

Verdict
While both are missing a few players I think the advantages still lie with Carlisle and with that home record as impressive as it is they have to be backed.

PICK
Carlisle –0.5 (2.21 @ canbet) 4 points



Doncaster V Leeds

The last of my Tuesday previews and once again I can only guess that the bookies are pricing this one up on reputation rather than current form and ability.
Doncaster are 14 points ahead of the visitors and have won 5 of the last 6 at home. Leeds have won 2 of the last 10 away from elland road and even failed to beat bottom side Port Vale last time out.
For Doncaster Sean O'Driscoll has no new injuries to worry about with Greer the only absentee.

Leeds United defender Rui Marques and midfielder David Prutton are both out after picking up knocks.

Verdict
Not one of my more detailed previews but I think that the bookies have made an error here in offering such good odds for the home side. Their home form compared to the away form of Leeds only points to one thing. Leeds have struggled a little because they are such a big club and every team wants to beat them. Doncaster already won at Elland road and should complete the double tonight. They need the win to keep up the fight for the second automatic promotion spot and wont give anything away softly tonight.

PICK
Doncaster win (2.26 @ pinnacle) 4 points