As soon as you see some fixtures you immediately think of goals and this one is no different. What really helps my chances here apart from the obvious goalscoring talents of both teams is the fact that I really fancy Sevilla to get a good result here. It’s a crucial time of the year for them and they badly need a win to help their chances of a top 4 finish. Barca have slipped up in the title race and allowed Villarreal to sneak back into it so there could be a few twists yet.
Reals home form reads with 12 wins from 14 attempts and their games have averaged 3.6 goals at the Bernabeau. They have a few injury worries in the defence which means that Heinze will be pushed into the middle which I cant say will suit him. At the best of times their defence looks suspect and its very hard to see them keeping Kanoute and Fabiano out.
Pepe is ruled out through injury as are Metzelder and van Nistlerooy.
Likewise Sevilla have a few problems in their defence also. Their away games have averaged over 3 goals a game also and they are a team that simply outscores other teams, even if they concede one or two goals. Kanoute is playing very well at the moment and Capel has also shone in the last few weeks especially. Losing to Atletico Madrid last week was a setback but they often keep their best performances for Real and will not be one bit afraid of taking the game to the hosts here. They have won the last 3 meetings between the two with an impressive goals difference and the pressure is on Real tonight as the fickle home fans are starting to lose patience. Ivica Dragutinovic (injury) and Maresca (suspension) are the only absentees
Verdict
I see plenty of goals coming here and hopefully an exciting open attacking game. For a fixed bet before the game starts il be taking over 3 goals. Il also be laying Real and taking that one in play.
Good luck!
PICK
Over 3 goals (2.09 @ canbet) 5 points
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Winner
+5.45 points
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