Sunday, February 24, 2008

Premiership on Sunday

Blackburn V Bolton

Two very similar teams face off at Ewood park toady. Im torn between two bets and really should leave this one alone but I cant help myself. My two selections are taking Blackburn to win and the other one is taking under 2.5 goals.
Blackburn are in 10th place but have actually taken more points on the road (1 more only). What im getting at here is that their home form is hardly the stuff of giants and only Derby have scored less at home. Then again they have played Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Everton and a few more decent teams so all in all its not too bad a record. Goals are my main concern as Blackburn have only scored 2 in the last 5 home games and Santa Cruz has been well marshalled since he burst onto the scene.
Samba, Dunn and Pedersen should return to give Hughes some more options.
Bolton had a terrific result midweek drawing 0 – 0 with Atletico Madrid against all the odds. Since Anelka left for Chelsea they have looked a bit shot shy up front and have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 league games. They are just three points above safety but still have a game in hand and I fully expect them to drag themselves out of the relegation zone before it gets too late. Their away record is poor with just the one win, that coming last time out against fellow strugglers Reading. Their once dependable defence has let in almost 2 goals a game on the road, another area of concern for Gary Megson.
Helguson and Gardner are rated as slightly doubtful but may just about make it. A few changes to the starting 11 are expected from the midweek visit to Spain.

Verdict
Torn between two results here. Blackburn should be fresh enough to take advantage of Bolton’s trip to Spain. I don’t see many goals in this one but the home side should just about do enough to nick it. Ive had bad luck in the under/ over market lately so im inclined to leave this one go. Blackburn should win this 1 or 2 – 0
Good luck!

Pick
Blackburn –0.5 (1.87 @ canbet) 4 points

1 comment:

epm said...

An easier win than i expected

+3.48 points