FA cup action

The Fa cup is interupting the weekend and its not my favourite day of the year, especially this early on when there is so many teams in action that we know so little about. Most of the favourites are priced far too low so it remains to be seen if i can find 1 or two teams that can make up a decent acca. Anyway, for now,

Wolves V Cambridge

Cambridge are one of the last remaining non-league teams left and face a daunting task if they are to progress any further.
Wolves sit in 10th place in the championship but seemed to have lost ground in their race to gain promotion. This is mainly due to the fact that they are finding goals very hard to come by. 24 goals scored which is the worst in the league. The main reason that they are as high in the league though is their defence, only 23 goals conceded, the tightest defence in the league.

Cambridge are in 5th place in the conference and while 1st and 2nd place would appear to be sewn up, they are still well in the frame for a promotion spot. Their statistics read very similar to Wolves when it comes to goals scored and conceded. They have scored 35 goals in 24 games which sounds good but is actually a poor record in comparison to the teams around them. And much like Wolves. Cambridge possess the best defensive record in the league with only 22 conceded.

Verdict
Wolves badly need a win for a confidence boost more than anything else. Cambridge will enjoy the day no doubt and will hope that their defence stands firm against the Wolves threat. If they can keep Wolves out for the first 45 minutes then anything is possible. The bottom line here is that you have two low scoring teams that don’t give away any loose change at the back. I think Wolves may be good enough to win this but will have to work hard for it. They have kept 7 clean sheets at home this year to much better opposition and to be honest I don’t see Cambridge scoring. Unders looks like good value to me then as I definitely don’t see Wolves scoring more than 1 or 2 max.

PICK

Wolves V Cambridge under 2.5 goals (2.11 @ mansion) 4 points