Friday, October 12, 2007

13th October weekend pick

Theres a round of international games to chose from this weekend. As usual most games are too one-sided or too unpredictable for my liking.
Instead ive gone with a pick in the wales game

Qualification is gone for both sides here but results are still important to get better seeding for the world cup draw.

Wales are travelling on the back of a most impressive 5 - 2 thrashing of Slovakia in the last game. Almost a year ago to the day Wales won the reverse fixture comfortably 3 - 1.

At odds of about 2.5 for the away win i think may be worth a punt but instead im going with over 2.5 goals and the reasons are,

Despite holding Germany to a 1 - 1 draw all the other Cyprus home games have all gone overs with results such as the impressive 5 - 2 win over Ireland, 3 - 0 win over San Marino and the 3 - 1 defeat to Slovakia.

Wales with Bellamy in the starting 11 always look dangerous, and this was duly proved with his inspirational performance last time out against Slovakia.

Welsh games have also tended to go over the 2.5 mark with high scoring games such as the 2 games with Slovakia where there was an amazing 13 goals in 2 games. Not to mention overs in games against the Czechs, san marino and Cyprus.

In a nutshell the result is important to both teams so im expecting an open attacking style of game. The only defence that Cyprus have failed to breach is the Czechs away from home which is hardly surprising, Likewise Wales have been able to hit the net in most matches and any team capable of putting 5 past Slovakia should be able to at least get 2 against Cyprus.

Both teams are too unpredictable so i cant be forced into backing Wales, my preferred choice, instead il go with over 2.5 goals.

good luck.

PICKS
Cyprus V Wales over 2.5 goals ( 1.9 @ betsense) 4 points

1 comment:

epm said...

And they duly oblige, Cyprus winning 3 - 1 at FT.

+3.6 points profit