Weekend picks

Well this will be my one and only post of the weekend as im heading away to Dublin for the All_Ireland final.
Kerry are playing Cork for those of you not into this particular sport.
Its on Sunday @ 3.30pm
Kerry are currently trading about 1.5 – 1.6 and this is a cracking price in my opinion.
Heres a few reasons why I feel kerry have the edge and will win.

Kerry have a fully fit squad to pick from. Their training sessions are going well and theres the belief and desire to put back to back titles together. They have bucketloads of experience, most of the kerry players will be playing in their 4th succesive final and some will be in their 6th or 7th final in total so the pressures of playing in front of 84,00 people wont faze them one bit.
They only have two newcomers to the team this year but both Reidy and Young have settled in really well and Killian Young in particular is a very strong candidate for Young player of the year. They really are the complete package and the hard fought semi- final victory over Dublin will be a taste of what to expect.

Cork have exceeded many peoples expectations this year. They have had their troubles though injury wise, Top scorer James Masters suffered a broken jaw and missed the semi final because of injury. He has recovered to take his starting place in the final but I have serious doubts that he is 100%. I see this as a very bad selection as Cork tend to rely heavily on him for scores, and as I don’t see his fitness being 100% I think he will come in for a litle “extra attention” from the kerry defenders. It would amaze me if he lasts the full 70 minutes. Seeing him being taken off will be a huge psychological blow for the team. Cork delayed naming their team until late last night in a hope to give star defender Anthony Lynch time to recover from a broken hand sustained last week-end in a warm-up game. This tells me that the Cork selectors are clutching at straws as realistically there was never a hope of him playing. With two of their main players injured, one of whom is playing, the chances were seriously dented. Add in the fact that this is the first final appearance for all bar one of the starting 15. Cork will surely be nervous playing Sunday as they will never have played in front of this kind of crowd or atmosphere before. They will adapt,but it will take time and I expect to see kerry do enough damage in the first 10 – 15 minutes to effectively kill the game. This is a game between two neighbouring counties, the first time ever playing each other in an All Ireland final. Tempers usually fray between the two sides and yellow and red cards are usually plentifull.
They played once already this year and Kerry won by 2 points but situations have changed and I expect Kerry to win by 3 – 4 points at the very least.

One interesting “special bet” is Ladbrokes - Paul Galvin and Noel O'Leary both to receive red cards- priced at 3.
I just have to take a piece of this, they will be marking each other and both have serious disciplinery problems (often with each other when they play) O Leary was banned for a month earlier this year for kicking Galvin on the ground. Both players are the “short fuse” players of their respective teams, the opposition will be out to wind these two players up and it wouldn’t surprise me in the least if either or both were sent off. I just have to back it

PICKS
Kerry win (1.58 @ betfair) 10 points

Ladbrokes special (- Paul Galvin and Noel O'Leary both to receive red cards) (3 @ ladbrokes) 3 points

D O Sullivan (Kerry) anytime goalscorer (5 @ paddypower) 1 point
D O Sullivan (Kerry) Man of the match (12 @ paddpower) 1 point

Il have a few football picks to follow.