Back on track tonight.

Stevenage V Farsley

Stevenage done the business for us last week so hopefully more of the same tonight. They sit proudly at the top with a 22 points so far from a possible 27. Their main advantage this season has been up front where they have been banging them in for fun and have returned an impressive 17 goals from 9 games this season. More impressive is the fact that they have only conceded 3 so far(1 at home, 2 away)
They are very strong at home with a 3-1-0 record averaging 2 goals a game and only conceding 1 at home all season.
Farsley sit in 18th place with a respectable 11 points so far from 5 games. However as with most conference teams they are not so hot away from home and have conceded an average of 2 away in each game despite scoring 3 on the road.
Home odds are best priced 1.4 but i think Stevenage will win comfortably.
- 1 goal on the handicap is best priced 2.2 at blue sq and thats too good to turn down in my eyes.

Another value conference pick that stands out is
Kidderminster V Droylsden

Kidderminster have had a strange season so far and lie in 13 position, but only 5 points off the playoff places. They have certainly been scoring of late, notching 12 goals in the last 4 games. Their home record so far reads 2 - 0 - 2 which doesn't read too good but they have averaged 2 a game at home this season and tonight face Droylsden, the team with the worst defensive record in the league (-17 goals)
Away from home Droylsden have conceded a whopping 14 goals in four games and have been well whipped in a few games so far. They are without a win this season and i don't expect them to get the first tonight either. Once again, the home team is much stronger and i expect Kidderminster to cover the handicap and record a comfortable home win.


Now, on to the champions league action,

Shaktar Donetsk V Celtic

Celtic are very lucky to have got this far. Before i start, i expect them to get past the group stages this season but in doing so will rely on their strong home form to carry them through. Shaktar are not so dissimilar to Celtic, both play in a league where there is only two real contenders and both are traditionally strong and hard to break down at home. Tonight is the start of the battle for second place behind Milan and both will be looking to take something from the game, however while Celtic will most likely be satisfied with a point, anything other than a home win will be bad news for Shaktars hopes of getting through. Both are relatively full strength, though Shaktar have Captain Dmytro Chygrynskiy suspended and will most likely be replaced by croatian Srna who is a very good replacement.
I just have to go with the home side tonight.


My other pick tonight is in the Real Madrid V Bremen game. il keep it quite simple, overs. Both are well able to score and despite Bremen not being in the best of form at the moment, it would not surprise me to see them score. Overs is my preferred choice here with small stakes.

Last but not least, my mug acca, all 3 teams i expect to win but at such short adds i wont be lumping on any big singles. Chelsea, Madrid and AC Milan should all get off to good starts tonight and combined pays out best priced 2.23 at ladbrokes.

PICKS

Conference football
Stevenage - 1 goal handicap (2.2 @ blue sq) 4 points
Kidderminster - 1 goal handicap (2.4 @ blue sq) 4 points

Champions league
Shaktar Donetsk - 0.5 asian handicap (2.03 @ bet365) 3 points
Real Madrid V Bremen over 2.5 goals (1.7 @ bet365) 1 point

acca
Chelsea, madrid, Ac Milan all to win (2.23 @ ladbrokes) 3 points