A few interesting ties on tonight, Sevilla are away to AEK in the delayed CL qualifiers. Its hard to know what way players will react to the recent tragedy though and especially with a 2 - 0 lead for Sevilla, they will concentrate on keeping a clean sheet and shutting AEK out. A game to leave alone in my opinion.
The game I will concentrate on though is Irish, Drogheda at home to UCD.
Drogheda are top of the league and have an impressive home record (DWWWW for the last 5 homes)
They were comprehensively beaten 3 - 0 last week in Sweden to Helsingborg to end all European dreams for this season. They are pretty much full strength for tonight’s game.
UCD are hovering above the drop zone, their recent form has been patchy but they have been picking up the odd draw to keep them slightly out of danger. Last 5 aways read ( DLLWL) However they are up against a very strong home team in good form tonight. UCD will try to keep it tight at the back in the hope of taking a point, a result which they would be more than happy with.
Another stat of interest is that Drogheda have taken 24 points at home this year from a possible 33 compared to UCD's 9 away points from a possible 30.
Verdict
The league is what Drogheda will concentrate on fully now after being knocked out of Europe, a win tonight will see them 10 points clear at the top and in a commanding position. Home advantage should be good enough to ensure 3 points. However UCD will come to defend and take a point which is why I see 4.5 on the HT draw FT home win as a good pick, as it may take Drogs a while to break down the UCD defence.
Anything other than a home win tonight will be viewed as a big surprise.
PICK
Drogheda win (1.5 @ coral) 5 points
Drogheda HT draw FT win (4.5 @ ladbrokes) 1 point
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5 comments:
It goes to show that you can do the homework, everything can point you to a result but sometimes it just dont happen for you.
FT
Drogheda 0 - 1 UCD
That was f ing rubbish, i backed Drogs when they went 1 down as i thought i was getting better odds,
absolute crap, i hope they dont win the league now.
Not to worry anonymous, got to take the bad times with the good.
that was so bad,
it will be a long time before i back anything in the Irish league again
- 6 points for the day, very poor stuff
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