14th July morning pick in the asian cup

One pick for the afternoon, going with a large stake on Uzbekistan to beat Malaysia in the asian cup. After an unpredictable start to the tournament the pace has been set, the weaker teams have been separated from the stronger teams and the betting pattern looks a little easier to follow.
Uzbek played some decent stuff against Iraq in the first game but eventually gave in to Iraq'a greater fitness and power, they welcome back their top striker Maksim Shatskikh of Dinamo Kiev, who was suspended for the 1st match, adding to their firepower.
For Malaysia, its damage limitation, the 5 - 1 defeat to China was embarrasing and riddled with silly mistakes. i expec tthem to up it a good bit today but it wont be enough as Uzbek need the win far more whereas Malaysia are hoping to restore pride to the national jersey.
Anything other than an uzbek win will be a major shock today hence the 8 points.

Pick
Uzbekistan to beat Malaysia (Asian cup) 8 points

1.5 available at william hill, 1.4 elsewhere, price is dropping fast though

(will be back later to have a look at some other games in the gaa and copa)